Papa Johns International Stock Performance

PZZA Stock  USD 32.58  0.25  0.76%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.67, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Papa Johns' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Papa Johns is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Papa Johns International has a negative expected return of -0.32%. Please make sure to check Papa Johns' treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Papa Johns International performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Papa Johns International has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.76)
Five Day Return
2.2
Year To Date Return
(19.16)
Ten Year Return
(37.75)
All Time Return
1.6 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0561
Payout Ratio
0.0192
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.84
Dividend Date
2026-02-20
1
Papa Johns Expands Footprint With Major Refranchising Deal
11/26/2025
 
Papa Johns dividend paid on 28th of November 2025
11/28/2025
2
Why Papa Johns Stock Is Down Today
01/09/2026
3
Why Papa Johns Is Down 7.5 percent After US5 Million Settlement And Turnaround Plan Shift
01/12/2026
4
Delivery Carryout Both Rising, Is DPZ Entering a New Balance Phase
01/14/2026
5
Q3 Earnings Review Traditional Fast Food Stocks Led by Dutch Bros
01/20/2026
6
Assessing Papa Johns Valuation After Flat Revenues And Missed EBITDA Guidance
01/23/2026
7
A Look At Papa Johns Valuation After Its New Nationwide Pan Pizza Launch
02/05/2026
8
Papa Johns Makes a Bold Run to Become the First Pizzeria Awarded a MICHELIN Star
02/11/2026
9
Papa Johns International Passes Through 6 percent Yield Mark - Nasdaq
02/17/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow40.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-17.3 M

Papa Johns Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,993  in Papa Johns International on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (735.00) from holding Papa Johns International or give up 18.41% of portfolio value over 90 days. Papa Johns International is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.0472% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Papa, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Papa Johns is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.73 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of volatility.

Papa Johns Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Papa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 32.58 90 days 32.58 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Papa Johns to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Papa Johns International probability density function shows the probability of Papa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Papa Johns has a beta of 0.67 indicating as returns on the market go up, Papa Johns average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Papa Johns International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Papa Johns International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Papa Johns Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Papa Johns

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Papa Johns International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.5732.6134.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.3238.5140.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.2932.3334.37
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
42.5246.7351.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Papa Johns. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Papa Johns' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Papa Johns' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Papa Johns International.

Papa Johns Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Papa Johns is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Papa Johns' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Papa Johns International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Papa Johns within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
2.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Papa Johns Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Papa Johns for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Papa Johns International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Papa Johns generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Papa Johns International currently holds 971.13 M in liabilities. Papa Johns International has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Papa Johns' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Activist Corner Jana, Elliott, Trian Make Moves

Papa Johns Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Papa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Papa Johns' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Papa Johns' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments38 M

Papa Johns Fundamentals Growth

Papa Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Papa Johns, and Papa Johns fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Papa Stock performance.

About Papa Johns Performance

By analyzing Papa Johns' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Papa Johns' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Papa Johns has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Papa Johns has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 8.83  10.31 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.12  0.14 
Return On Capital Employed 0.30  0.29 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.13 
Return On Equity(0.16)(0.15)

Things to note about Papa Johns International performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Papa Johns for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Papa Johns International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Papa Johns generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Papa Johns International currently holds 971.13 M in liabilities. Papa Johns International has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Papa Johns' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Activist Corner Jana, Elliott, Trian Make Moves
Evaluating Papa Johns' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Papa Johns' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Papa Johns' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Papa Johns' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Papa Johns' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Papa Johns' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Papa Johns' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Papa Johns' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Papa Johns' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Papa Johns' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Papa Johns' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Papa Stock analysis

When running Papa Johns' price analysis, check to measure Papa Johns' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Papa Johns is operating at the current time. Most of Papa Johns' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Papa Johns' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Papa Johns' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Papa Johns to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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