Papa Johns International Stock Performance
| PZZA Stock | USD 32.58 0.25 0.76% |
The company holds a Beta of 0.67, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Papa Johns' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Papa Johns is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Papa Johns International has a negative expected return of -0.32%. Please make sure to check Papa Johns' treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Papa Johns International performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Papa Johns International has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.76) | Five Day Return 2.2 | Year To Date Return (19.16) | Ten Year Return (37.75) | All Time Return 1.6 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0561 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.84 | Dividend Date 2026-02-20 |
1 | Papa Johns Expands Footprint With Major Refranchising Deal | 11/26/2025 |
| Papa Johns dividend paid on 28th of November 2025 | 11/28/2025 |
2 | Why Papa Johns Stock Is Down Today | 01/09/2026 |
3 | Why Papa Johns Is Down 7.5 percent After US5 Million Settlement And Turnaround Plan Shift | 01/12/2026 |
4 | Delivery Carryout Both Rising, Is DPZ Entering a New Balance Phase | 01/14/2026 |
5 | Q3 Earnings Review Traditional Fast Food Stocks Led by Dutch Bros | 01/20/2026 |
6 | Assessing Papa Johns Valuation After Flat Revenues And Missed EBITDA Guidance | 01/23/2026 |
7 | A Look At Papa Johns Valuation After Its New Nationwide Pan Pizza Launch | 02/05/2026 |
8 | Papa Johns Makes a Bold Run to Become the First Pizzeria Awarded a MICHELIN Star | 02/11/2026 |
9 | Papa Johns International Passes Through 6 percent Yield Mark - Nasdaq | 02/17/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 40.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -17.3 M |
Papa Johns Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,993 in Papa Johns International on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (735.00) from holding Papa Johns International or give up 18.41% of portfolio value over 90 days. Papa Johns International is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.0472% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Papa, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Papa Johns Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Papa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 32.58 | 90 days | 32.58 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Papa Johns to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Papa Johns International probability density function shows the probability of Papa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Papa Johns Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Papa Johns
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Papa Johns International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Papa Johns Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Papa Johns is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Papa Johns' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Papa Johns International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Papa Johns within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Papa Johns Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Papa Johns for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Papa Johns International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Papa Johns generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Papa Johns International currently holds 971.13 M in liabilities. Papa Johns International has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Papa Johns' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Activist Corner Jana, Elliott, Trian Make Moves |
Papa Johns Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Papa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Papa Johns' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Papa Johns' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38 M |
Papa Johns Fundamentals Growth
Papa Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Papa Johns, and Papa Johns fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Papa Stock performance.
| Return On Asset | 0.0849 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.95 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 32.79 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 42.66 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.51 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.06 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 427.58 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 226.11 M | ||||
| Net Income | 84.2 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 36.62 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.04 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 971.13 M | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.91 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (13.40) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 106.63 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.13 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.07 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 888.95 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 241.72 M | ||||
| Working Capital | (47.36 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 152.59 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 132.94 M | ||||
About Papa Johns Performance
By analyzing Papa Johns' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Papa Johns' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Papa Johns has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Papa Johns has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 8.83 | 10.31 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.12 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.30 | 0.29 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.11 | 0.13 | |
| Return On Equity | (0.16) | (0.15) |
Things to note about Papa Johns International performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Papa Johns for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Papa Johns International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Papa Johns generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Papa Johns International currently holds 971.13 M in liabilities. Papa Johns International has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Papa Johns' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Activist Corner Jana, Elliott, Trian Make Moves |
- Analyzing Papa Johns' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Papa Johns' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Papa Johns' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Papa Johns' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Papa Johns' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Papa Johns' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Papa Johns' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Papa Stock analysis
When running Papa Johns' price analysis, check to measure Papa Johns' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Papa Johns is operating at the current time. Most of Papa Johns' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Papa Johns' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Papa Johns' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Papa Johns to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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